Decoupling and EKC in European Union countries: a shiftshare decomposition of air emissions
Keywords:
EKC, air emissions, trade openness, factors endowments, decoupling, non-linear estimationAbstract
This paper examines the non-linear effect of per capita GDP growth rate, trade openness, and physical and human capital endowments on air pollution in the EU region over the period 2008-2016 by decomposing air emissions into scale, composition, and technique effects. Results show a negative non-linear relationship between greenhouse and acidifying gas emissions and per capita GDP growth rate, with more open economies tending to reduce emissions both directly and indirectly through investment in physical capital. The determinants mainly affect the scale component, although the environmental improvement due to capital investment works through the technique component. There are heterogeneous effects across countries, with more pronounced environmental benefits for countries in the higher deciles of GDP and trade growth rates.
References
Andreoni, J. & Levinson, A. (2001). The simple analytics of the environmental Kuznets curve, Journal of Public Economics, 80, 269- 286, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0047-2727(00)00110-9
Ang, B. W. (2017). LMDI decomposition approach: A guide for implementation. Energy Policy, 86, 233-238, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2015.07.007
Ang, B. W. & Choi, K. I. (1997). Decomposition of the aggregate energy gas emission intensities for industry: a refined Divisia index method. The Energy Journal, 18(3), 59-73, https://www.jstor.org/stable/41322738
Antweiler, W., Copeland, B. R., &Taylor M. S. (2001). Is free trade good for environment?. American Economic Review, 91, 877-908, DOI: 10.1257/aer.91.4.877
Baldwin, R. (1995). Does Sustainability Require Growth?, in: Goldin I., Winters L. A., eds. The Economics of Sustainable Development, Cambridge University Press, 51-79.
Bruvoll, A. & Medin, H. (2003). Factors Behind the Environmental Kuznets Curve: A Decomposition of the Changes in Air Pollution. Environmental and Resource Economics, 24, 27-48, https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1022881928158
Churchill, S. A., Inekwe, J., Ivanovski, K. & Smyth, R. (2018). The Environmental Kuznets Curve in the OECD: 1870–2014. Energy Economics, 75, 389-399, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2018.09.004
Cole, M.A. & Elliott, R.J.R. (2003). Determining the Trade– Environment Composition Effect: The Role of Capital, Labor and Environmental Regulations. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 46, 363-383, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0095- 0696(03)00021-4
Caporin, M., Cooray, A., Kuziboev, B. & Yusubov, I. (2024). New insights on the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) for Central Asia. Empirical Economics, 66, 2335–2354, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-023-02520-9
Copeland, B. R. & Taylor, M. S. (1994). North-south trade and the environment, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 109, 755-787, https://doi.org/10.2307/2118421
Davidson, R. & MacKinnon, J. G. (1993). Estimation and Inference in Econometrics, New York Oxford University Press
De Bruyn, S. M. (1997). Explaining the environmental Kuznets curve: structural change and international agreements in reducing sulphur emissions. Environment and Development Economics, 2(4), 485-508, http://www.jstor.org/stable/44379190
EC, Directorate-General for Climate Action. (2017). Decomposition analysis of the changes in GHG emissions in the EU and Member States – Final report, https://data.europa.eu/doi/10.2834/397144
Gallant, A. R. (1975), Seemingly unrelated nonlinear regressions. Journal of Econometrics, 3(1), 35-50, https://doi.org/10.1016/0304- 4076(75)90064-0
Grossman, G. M. & Krueger, A. B. (1991). Environmental impact of a North American Free Trade Agreement, NBER Working Paper Series, 3914, DOI: 10.3386/w3914
Hipólito Leal, P. & Cardoso Marques, A. (2022). The evolution of the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis assessment: A literature review under a critical analysis perspective. Heliyon, 8(11), e11521, DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e11521
Jiang, J.-J., Ye, B., Zhou, N. & Zhang, X.-L. (2019). Decoupling analysis and environmental Kuznets curve modelling of provinciallevel CO2 emissions and economic growth in China: A case study, Journal of Cleaner Production, 212, 1242-1255, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.12.116
Lv, D. & Wang, Z. (2022). Analysis of Agricultural CO2 Emissions in Henan Province, China, Based on EKC and Decoupling. Sustainability, 14(3), 1931, https://doi.org/10.3390/su14031931
Naqvi, A. (2021). Decoupling trends of emissions across EU regions and the role of environmental policies. Journal of Cleaner Production, 323, 129130, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2021.129130
Selden, T. M. & Song, D. (1994). Environmental quality and development: is there a Kuznets curve for air pollution?. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 29, 147-162, https://doi.org/10.1006/jeem.1994.1031
Shafik, N. & Bandyopadhyay, S. (1992). Economic growth and environmental quality: time series and cross-country evidence. Policy Research Working Paper Series, 904, The World Bank
UNEP. (2011). Decoupling natural resource use and environmental impacts from economic growth. https://wedocs.unep.org/20.500.11822/9816
Viguier, L. (1999). Emissions of SO₂, NOx and CO₂ in Transition Economies: Emission Inventories and Divisia Index Analysis. The Energy Journal, 20(2), 59-87, http://www.jstor.org/stable/41322830
Wang, Q. & Zhang, F. (2021). The effects of trade openness on decoupling carbon emissions from economic growth – Evidence from 182 countries. Journal of Cleaner Production, 279, 123838, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.123838
Wood, R. & Lenzen, M. (2006). Zero-value problems of the logarithmic mean divisia index decomposition method. Energy Policy, 34, 1326-1331, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2004.11.010
Zhao, X., Zhang, X., Li, N., Shao, S. & Geng, Y. (2017). Decoupling economic growth from carbon dioxide emissions in China: A sectoral factor decomposition analysis, Journal of Cleaner Production, 142(4), 3500-3516, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.10.117
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2024 ESI Preprints

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.